This game is so hard to pick because you just never know what Eagles team you are going to get. The talent is still there, and while they are battling some injuries I still think they are a good football team. But the more I’ve thought about this I like that Packers at home. Lambo will be rocking, and the inconsistency of the Eagles so far just makes me like the Packers. I do admit -4.5 is not a great number, because you can’t really tease it to what you would like, If you get the Packers all the way down to -3 the line becomes -160 and the value just isn’t there anymore. I’m keeping the line as it is Packers -4.5.
I am also a big fan of the under in this game. I do not have the actual stat, but I can tell you from betting the under in almost every isolated game so far this season, the under has been hitting at least 70% of the time. I’m sticking with the trend and going under yet again tonight
Lastly, I love Zach Ertz over on receptions at 5.5. With DeSean Jackson still out, Ertz will get a few more targets than normal and will be Wentz’s number one option on any type of short yardage situation.
1 Unit: Packers (-4.5) (-110)
1 Unit: Under 47 (-110)
1 Unit: Zach Ertz (o5.5 receptions) (-130)